Myanmar’s civil war: What happens next?

Myanmar's civil war has entered a critical new phase. After major battlefield setbacks in the years following the 2021 coup, the military has launched renewed counter-offensives to reclaim strategic territory, targeting vital economic trade routes and border gateways.

These shifting dynamics coincide with a significant leadership transition at the top of the military hierarchy. A newly appointed commander-in-chief has taken control after former junta leader Min Aung Hlaing stepped down from his military role to become Myanmar's president.

To unpack these developments, the FCCT will host a three-member panel examining the conflict from different perspectives:

Naing Min Khant, researcher, Institute for Strategy and Policy (ISP-Myanmar), will explore the military’s internal dynamics, command structures, and operational strategies.

Thu Thu Aung, editor-in-chief, Frontier Myanmar, will outline the current state of the anti-junta resistance and assess the strategic challenges it faces.

Valeria Mongelli, an independent multimedia journalist, will present images from active conflict zones and share firsthand experiences from the front lines.

The panel will be moderated by Devjyot Ghoshal, Reuters chief correspondent for Thailand and Myanmar, and an FCCT board member.

Members who wish to book in advance should email info@fccthai.com or call the FCCT office on 02-652-0580.

Non-members can use this link.