Wind of Change: Inside the defection wave & the future of Myanmar’s security sector

Date
Friday, 25 September 2026
Time
10:00
Location
FCCThai Clubhouse
Admission
Free and open to all.

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Join People’s Goal for the launch of a ground-breaking research report, which maps the ongoing structural rupture within Myanmar’s military apparatus. The report, Wind of Change, covers the emergence of the Civil Disobedience Movement and Myanmar military surrenders and defections from 2023 to 2026. It analyzes the unprecedented post-coup shift after ‘Operation 1027’, the major coordinated offensive launched by an alliance of ethnic armed groups in northern Myanmar that triggered a cascade of rank-and-file defections and mass surrenders, shifting the internal dynamic of the conflict.

In response to severe depletion of frontline personnel, the junta activated its mandatory Conscription Law—a policy that directly reflects its internal attrition, recruitment struggles and sagging morale. This report launch highlights People’s Goal’s core mission: mapping operational vulnerabilities to strategically mobilize soldiers inside the military to defect, align with the public, and choose the right side of history.

It highlights Operation 1027 and the military’s strategic rupture, how post-1027 defections and surrenders fractured military cohesion across multiple command levels; analyzes conscription as internal failure to show how the junta’s draft is evidence of severe manpower loss, forced recruitment, and institutional decay. It looks at frameworks to incentivize defections, support deserting personnel and weaken the war machine from within. And it reimagines blueprints for security sector reform, civilian oversight, integrating defectors alongside ethnic armed organizations to form a federal democratic armed forces.

Speakers:

Major Naung Yoe, Myanmar military defector;

Khun Kham Kaung, lead research consultant, Wind of Change report;

Nyi Thuta, research coordinator, Wind of Change report;

Thinzar Shunlei Yi, People’s Goal and civil society advocate.

Moderator: Phil Robertson, FCCT board, director, Asia Human Rights and Labour Advocates.

Registration notice: Due to security protocols, prior RSVP is required for all non-FCCT members who attend or participate or watch via Zoom. Please contact People’s Goal at peoplesgoal.burma@proton.me to reserve your spot.